La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 9–8 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 45.70%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.547%
Ventaja +0.249%
Kelly +0.456%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%45.64%45.74%47.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.112.122.2051.02%47.29%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 54.30%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.637%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.767%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.13%54.36%54.26%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.26%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 15:14
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:55
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:15
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:55
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.24%E -4.87%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:54
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
Everygame2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:49
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:00
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 13:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 13:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:05
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.637%E -0.348%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:10
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.42%E -5.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-05-17 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 17:55
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-17 18:05
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55