مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago White Sox 9–8 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago White Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.70%2.19السعر العادل
EV +0.547%
الأفضلية +0.249%
Kelly +0.456%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%45.64%45.74%47.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.962.112.122.2051.02%47.29%47.17%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.30%1.84السعر العادل
EV -0.637%
الأفضلية -0.348%
Kelly -0.767%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.13%54.36%54.26%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.26%57.14%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 15:14
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:55
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:15
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:55
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.24%E -4.87%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:54
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
Everygame2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:49
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:00
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 13:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 13:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:05
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.637%E -0.348%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:10
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.42%E -5.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-05-17 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 17:55
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-17 18:05
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55