Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 18:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 42.96%2.33fair odd
EV +0.964%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.714%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.86%43.08%42.89%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.50%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 57.04%1.75fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.248%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.92%57.11%59.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7562.50%60.08%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 42.96%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 57.04%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.964%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.964%E +0.410%K +0.714%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.105%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 15:40
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.61%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:04
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 18:05
BetUS🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 18:09
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 17:54
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:00
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 15:44
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:29
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.91%E -2.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:59
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.186%E -0.106%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 17:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-08 18:05
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-08 18:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%1.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-04-08 18:10