A Escola das Odds

Chicago White Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-08 18:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 42.96%2.33odd justa
EV +0.964%
Vantagem +0.410%
Kelly +0.714%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.86%43.08%42.89%45.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.50%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 57.04%1.75odd justa
EV -0.186%
Vantagem -0.106%
Kelly -0.248%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.92%57.11%59.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7562.50%60.08%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.964%E +0.410%K +0.714%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.105%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:14
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:15
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 15:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.61%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:04
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 18:05
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:50
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 18:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 17:54
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 17:00
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 15:44
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.91%E -2.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.186%E -0.106%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 17:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-08 18:05
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-08 18:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%1.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-04-08 18:10