L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 18:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 42.96%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.964%
Avantage +0.410%
Kelly +0.714%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.86%43.08%42.89%45.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.50%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.04%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.186%
Avantage -0.106%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.92%57.11%59.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7562.50%60.08%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.964%E +0.410%K +0.714%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.105%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:14
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:15
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 15:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.61%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:04
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 18:05
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:50
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 18:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 17:54
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 17:00
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 15:44
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.91%E -2.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.186%E -0.106%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 17:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-08 18:05
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-08 18:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%1.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-04-08 18:10