La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-04-08 18:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 42.96%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.964%
Ventaja +0.410%
Kelly +0.714%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.86%43.08%42.89%45.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.50%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 57.04%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.186%
Ventaja -0.106%
Kelly -0.248%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%56.92%57.11%59.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7562.50%60.08%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.964%E +0.410%K +0.714%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.105%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:14
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.325%E -0.140%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:15
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:15
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 17:14
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.515%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 15:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.61%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:04
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:05
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.04%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 18:05
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 15:50
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 18:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 17:54
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 17:00
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 15:44
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.91%E -2.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.186%E -0.106%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 17:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-08 18:05
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-08 18:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-08 18:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.82%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.18%1.1%2026-04-08 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-08 18:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-04-08 18:10