Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 53.11%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 46.89%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -15.03%E -9.39%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +3.16%E +1.44%K +2.63%G +0.083% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.817%E +0.380%K +0.711%G +0.006% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -10.25%E -6.06%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.817%E +0.380%K +0.711%G +0.006% | 5.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.121%E -0.057%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.590%E -0.278%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.590%E -0.278%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.946%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.955%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-19 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.00%E -0.955%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.40%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-19 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 15:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.75%E -0.946%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 03:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.50%E -4.92%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.50%E -4.92%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.19%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44% | 2.8% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 2.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |