مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-06-19 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 16–2 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.11%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.75%
الأفضلية -0.946%
Kelly -2.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.95%53.39%53.05%57.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.781.801.8562.50%56.14%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.89%2.13السعر العادل
EV +3.16%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +2.63%
النمو +0.083%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.11%46.61%46.95%48.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.032.002.2052.08%49.36%50.00%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -15.03%E -9.39%K -25.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +3.16%E +1.44%K +2.63%G +0.083%8.0%2026-06-19 18:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.817%E +0.380%K +0.711%G +0.006%2.1%2026-06-19 18:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -10.25%E -6.06%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.817%E +0.380%K +0.711%G +0.006%5.7%2026-06-19 18:20
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.121%E -0.057%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-19 18:19
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.590%E -0.278%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 18:20
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.590%E -0.278%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 18:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-19 18:10
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:20
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.946%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.955%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-19 17:58
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.00%E -0.955%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 18:20
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 18:20
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.40%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 16:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 09:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 18:20
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 18:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 15:50
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:19
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:10
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 18:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 15:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.75%E -0.946%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 17:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 18:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 18:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 03:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 11:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 18:20
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 18:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:20
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:20
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:20
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 16:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:20
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:50
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:20
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.50%E -4.92%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.50%E -4.92%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.19%K -10.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-19 17:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-19 18:20
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-06-19 18:20
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-06-19 18:19
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%2.9%2026-06-19 18:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-06-19 18:20