Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -0.629%
Edge -0.347%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%54.82%54.92%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.751.8159.88%57.37%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -0.783%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.652%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.18%45.08%46.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.71%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 54.90%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 45.10%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -0.629%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.629%E -0.347%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.14%E -0.984%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.783%E -0.356%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 17:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 04:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 05:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |