La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 54.90%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.629%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.776%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.85%54.82%54.92%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8159.88%57.37%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 45.10%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.783%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.18%45.08%46.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.71%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.629%E -0.347%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:59 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.14%E -0.984%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 17:49 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.783%E -0.356%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 12:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 17:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:05 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:05 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 04:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 12:24 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 05:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Novig | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |