L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 7–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 54.90%1.82cote équitable
EV -0.629%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.85%54.82%54.92%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.751.8159.88%57.37%57.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.10%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.783%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.652%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.18%45.08%46.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.71%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.629%E -0.347%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 18:10
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 16:35
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 17:59
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.14%E -0.984%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:49
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:45
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.783%E -0.356%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 12:14
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:59
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:14
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:28
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:05
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:05
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 18:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 04:34
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 18:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 12:24
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 05:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:10
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 18:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 02:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 21:19
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 18:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-12 18:14
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 18:20
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-04-12 18:15
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-04-12 18:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-04-12 18:20