A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-04-12 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 7–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 54.90%1.82odd justa
EV -0.629%
Vantagem -0.347%
Kelly -0.776%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.85%54.82%54.92%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.751.8159.88%57.37%57.14%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 45.10%2.22odd justa
EV -0.783%
Vantagem -0.356%
Kelly -0.652%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.18%45.08%46.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.71%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.629%E -0.347%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 18:10
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 16:35
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.18%E -0.654%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 17:59
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.14%E -0.984%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:49
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.965%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:45
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.783%E -0.356%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 12:14
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.82%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:59
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:14
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:28
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:05
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:05
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 18:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 04:34
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 18:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:30
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 12:24
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 05:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:10
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 18:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 02:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 21:19
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 18:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-12 18:14
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 18:20
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-04-12 18:15
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-04-12 18:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-04-12 18:20