Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-08-02 18:21 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 46.48%2.15fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%46.36%46.48%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.052.1650.51%48.46%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 53.52%1.87fair odd
EV -0.996%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.64%53.52%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.32%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.48%; New York Yankees (Visit): 53.52%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.16, producing a positive expected value of +0.406%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +0.406%E +0.188%K +0.350%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.059%E -0.027%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 19:30
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -0.988%E -0.464%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:20
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 21:04
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:40
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 23:49
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 23:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 22:49
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.996%E -0.538%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:29
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:30
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 23:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 23:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:50
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:49
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:49
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:50
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:35
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:34
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:24
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:49
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:48
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.17%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.02%E -5.31%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.50%E -3.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-02 00:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-01 21:50
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-02 01:25
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.3%2026-08-02 01:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-08-02 01:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%8.8%2026-08-02 01:40