Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 48.61%2.06fair odd
EV -0.348%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.332%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.48%48.54%48.83%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.961.972.0552.91%50.93%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 51.39%1.95fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.628%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%51.46%51.17%53.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.851.9757.47%54.22%54.20%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 48.61%; New York Yankees (Visit): 51.39%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +1.24%E +0.628%K +1.28%G +0.016% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 17:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.81%E -0.894%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.834%E -0.409%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.834%E -0.409%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.72%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.348%E -0.170%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.67%E -3.47%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 15:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 18:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.67%E -3.47%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.13%E -4.30%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 18:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.348%E -0.170%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.72%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:54 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.