Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-08-02 18:21 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 46.48%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.406%
Avantage +0.188%
Kelly +0.350%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.03%46.34%46.48%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.072.052.1650.51%48.38%48.78%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.52%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.66%53.52%54.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.38%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 46.48% ; New York Yankees (Visiteur) : 53.52%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.15. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.16, pour une espérance positive de +0.406%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +0.406%E +0.188%K +0.350%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.059%E -0.027%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 19:30
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -0.988%E -0.464%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.45%E -0.685%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 01:55
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.45%E -0.685%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 02:04
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 21:04
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:59
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:04
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 22:49
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.996%E -0.538%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:29
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:30
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:05
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:00
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:35
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:34
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:24
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:49
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:48
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.17%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:20
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 02:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.02%E -5.31%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 02:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.50%E -3.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-02 02:19
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-02 00:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-01 21:50
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.3%2026-08-02 01:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-08-02 01:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-08-02 02:45