Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-08-02 18:21 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 46.48%2.15odd justa
EV +0.406%
Vantagem +0.188%
Kelly +0.350%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.03%46.34%46.48%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.072.052.1650.51%48.38%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 53.52%1.87odd justa
EV -0.996%
Vantagem -0.538%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.66%53.52%54.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.38%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.48%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 53.52%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.15. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.16, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.406%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +0.406%E +0.188%K +0.350%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.059%E -0.027%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 19:30
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -0.988%E -0.464%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.45%E -0.685%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 01:55
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -1.45%E -0.685%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 02:04
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.92%E -0.909%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 21:04
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:59
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:00
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 02:04
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 22:49
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.996%E -0.538%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:29
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:30
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:05
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:00
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:35
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.78%E -1.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:34
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:24
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:49
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:48
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:55
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.17%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:20
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 02:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.02%E -5.31%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 02:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.50%E -3.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.95%E -4.62%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-02 02:19
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-02 00:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-01 21:50
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.3%2026-08-02 01:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-08-02 01:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-08-02 02:45