Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-08-02 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 1–2 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 48.61%2.06odd justa
EV -0.348%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.48%48.54%48.83%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.961.972.0552.91%50.93%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 51.39%1.95odd justa
EV +1.24%
Vantagem +0.628%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.49%51.46%51.17%53.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.841.851.9757.47%54.22%54.20%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 48.61%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 51.39%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.95. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.97, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +1.24%E +0.628%K +1.28%G +0.016%2.6%2026-08-02 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 17:59
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 17:59
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -0.819%E -0.424%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 18:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.967%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:59
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.81%E -0.894%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 18:15
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 18:14
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:20
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.834%E -0.409%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 18:20
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.834%E -0.409%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.72%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.348%E -0.170%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 15:55
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:19
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.67%E -3.47%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 18:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:57
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:08
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.67%E -3.47%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:59
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 16:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.75%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:59
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.15%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:19
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.13%E -4.30%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:19
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 16:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 18:03
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.348%E -0.170%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.72%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-02 18:10
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 18:20
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 16:30
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-02 18:20
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-08-02 18:20
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-08-02 18:20
BetOpenly◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-08-02 17:54