Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.99%55.32%55.34%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.51%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV +0.677%
Edge +0.300%
Kelly +0.538%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%44.68%44.66%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.142.2651.28%46.92%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 55.45%; New York Mets (Visit): 44.55%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.677%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.677%E +0.300%K +0.538%G +0.004% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 15:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 18:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 05:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.90%E -3.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.23%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 18:17 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:20 |