La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-04-19 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 2–1 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 55.45%1.80quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.99%55.32%55.34%56.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.51%58.48%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.55%2.24quota equa
EV +0.677%
Vantaggio +0.300%
Kelly +0.538%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.44%44.68%44.66%47.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.132.142.2651.28%46.92%46.73%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.677%E +0.300%K +0.538%G +0.004%1.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 18:14
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 18:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 15:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 15:30
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:13
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 18:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:44
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.90%E -3.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.23%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:17
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-04-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-19 18:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-04-19 18:20