L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 2–1 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 55.45%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.99%55.32%55.34%56.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.51%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.55%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.677%
Avantage +0.300%
Kelly +0.538%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.44%44.68%44.66%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.132.142.2651.28%46.92%46.73%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.677%E +0.300%K +0.538%G +0.004%1.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 18:14
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 18:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 15:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 15:30
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:13
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 18:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:44
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.90%E -3.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.23%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:17
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-04-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-19 18:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-04-19 18:20