La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-04-19 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–1 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.99%55.32%55.34%56.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.51%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.677%
Ventaja +0.300%
Kelly +0.538%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%44.68%44.66%47.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.132.142.2651.28%46.92%46.73%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.677%E +0.300%K +0.538%G +0.004%1.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 18:14
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 18:20
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 18:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 15:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 15:30
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:13
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 18:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:44
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:45
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:15
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.90%E -3.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.23%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:17
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.13%E -6.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-04-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-19 18:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-19 18:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-04-19 18:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-19 18:20
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-19 18:20
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-04-19 18:20