Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-18 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 6–2 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 58.51%1.71odd justa
EV -0.535%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.40%58.61%59.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.641.641.7063.29%60.94%60.98%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 41.49%2.41odd justa
EV +0.824%
Vantagem +0.339%
Kelly +0.576%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.15%41.60%41.39%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.282.292.4346.30%43.77%43.57%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 58.51%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 41.49%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.41. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.43, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.824%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.824%E +0.339%K +0.576%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-18 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.421%E -0.175%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 17:50
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.08%E -0.882%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 18:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 18:03
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.98%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -0.535%E -0.315%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:04
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:53
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.56%E -4.78%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 18:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:14
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.55%E -4.38%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-18 18:18
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 17:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-07-18 18:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-07-18 18:20