Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-18 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 6–2 Minnesota Twins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 58.51%1.71faire Quote
EV -0.535%
Vorteil -0.315%
Kelly -0.765%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.40%58.61%59.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.581.641.641.7063.29%60.94%60.98%58.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Twins (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.49%2.41faire Quote
EV +0.824%
Vorteil +0.339%
Kelly +0.576%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.15%41.60%41.39%43.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.162.282.292.4346.30%43.77%43.57%41.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.824%E +0.339%K +0.576%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-18 18:19
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.421%E -0.175%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 17:50
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.08%E -0.882%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 18:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 18:03
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:00
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:00
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:50
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.98%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:55
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -0.535%E -0.315%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:04
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:05
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:53
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 17:55
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.56%E -4.78%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 18:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:08
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.55%E -4.38%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-18 18:18
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 17:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-07-18 18:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-07-18 18:20