La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

Inizio: 2026-07-18 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 6–2 Minnesota Twins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 58.51%1.71quota equa
EV -0.535%
Vantaggio -0.315%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.40%58.61%59.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.641.641.7063.29%60.94%60.98%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.49%2.41quota equa
EV +0.824%
Vantaggio +0.339%
Kelly +0.576%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.15%41.60%41.39%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.282.292.4346.30%43.77%43.57%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.824%E +0.339%K +0.576%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-18 18:19
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.006%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.421%E -0.175%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 17:50
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:05
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.25%E -0.525%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.08%E -0.882%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 18:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 18:03
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:00
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:00
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:50
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.98%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:55
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -0.535%E -0.315%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 18:04
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:05
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:53
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.81%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 17:55
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.56%E -4.78%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 18:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:15
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:08
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.55%E -4.38%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 18:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-18 18:18
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 17:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-07-18 18:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-07-18 18:20