Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 60.23%; Houston Astros (Visit): 39.77%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.571%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 18:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |