A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-24 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–8 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 60.23%1.66odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.76%60.23%60.17%62.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.63%63.69%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 39.77%2.51odd justa
EV -0.571%
Vantagem -0.228%
Kelly -0.381%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%39.77%39.83%41.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.412.402.5043.86%41.54%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 16:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:40
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 18:19
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:19
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 16:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:29
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:08
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:20
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:20
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:50
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:07
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:40
Fanatics1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-24 18:20
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%1.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-24 17:00