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Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 60.23%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.76%60.23%60.17%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.63%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 39.77%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.571%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.381%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.77%39.83%41.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.412.402.5043.86%41.54%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 60.23%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 39.77%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.571%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 18:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 05:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |