La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-24 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–8 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 60.23%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.76%60.23%60.17%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.63%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 39.77%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.571%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.381%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.77%39.83%41.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.412.402.5043.86%41.54%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 16:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:40
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 18:19
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:19
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 16:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:29
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:08
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:20
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:20
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:50
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:07
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:40
Fanatics1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-24 18:20
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%1.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-24 17:00