L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 5–8 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 60.23%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.76%60.23%60.17%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.63%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.77%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.571%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.381%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.77%39.83%41.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.412.402.5043.86%41.54%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 16:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:40
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 18:19
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 18:19
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.35%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 16:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 17:29
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:08
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:20
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:20
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:50
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:07
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:40
Fanatics1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.571%E -0.228%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 05:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-24 18:20
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%1.6%2026-05-24 18:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-24 17:00