Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.871.9356.82%53.56%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.92%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0053.19%51.39%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 51.07%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 48.93%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.95%E -1.02%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 00:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 00:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |