La escuela de los momiosChicago Cubs v Detroit Tigers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.871.871.9356.82%53.56%53.48%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Detroit Tigers (Visitante)
Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%48.92%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.951.952.0053.19%51.39%51.28%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.44%E -0.746%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Everygame | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.95%E -1.02%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 20:25 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 20:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Betsson | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 23:50 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 00:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.11%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 09:15 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 21:50 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 05:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 00:22 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 00:15 |