Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 64.21%1.56fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.99%64.17%64.26%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.93%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 35.79%2.79fair odd
EV +0.915%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%35.83%35.74%37.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.652.652.8239.22%37.77%37.74%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 64.21%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 35.79%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.915%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%EV -1.75%E -1.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%EV +0.915%E +0.324%K +0.502%G +0.005% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.11%E -0.720%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |