A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-07 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 8–3 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 64.21%1.56odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.720%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.99%64.17%64.26%65.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.93%66.67%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 35.79%2.79odd justa
EV +0.915%
Vantagem +0.324%
Kelly +0.502%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%35.83%35.74%37.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.652.652.8239.22%37.77%37.74%35.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%EV -1.75%E -1.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%EV +0.915%E +0.324%K +0.502%G +0.005%0.8%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:19
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.11%E -0.720%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 16:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 14:14
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:15
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:05
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:14
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:09
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 15:55
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:19
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-07 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 17:50
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-07 18:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-05-07 18:20
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-05-07 18:20