Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 8–3 Cincinnati Reds

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 64.21%1.56faire Quote
EV -1.11%
Vorteil -0.720%
Kelly -2.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.99%64.17%64.26%65.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.93%66.67%64.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.79%2.79faire Quote
EV +0.915%
Vorteil +0.324%
Kelly +0.502%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.99%35.83%35.74%37.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.552.652.652.8239.22%37.77%37.74%35.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%EV -1.75%E -1.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%EV +0.915%E +0.324%K +0.502%G +0.005%0.8%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:19
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.11%E -0.720%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 16:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 14:14
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:15
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:05
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:14
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:09
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 15:55
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:19
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-07 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 17:50
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-07 18:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-05-07 18:20
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-05-07 18:20