مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-05-07 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 8–3 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.21%1.56السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.720%
Kelly -2.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.99%64.17%64.26%65.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.93%66.67%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.79%2.79السعر العادل
EV +0.915%
الأفضلية +0.324%
Kelly +0.502%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.99%35.83%35.74%37.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.652.652.8239.22%37.77%37.74%35.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%EV -1.75%E -1.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%EV +0.915%E +0.324%K +0.502%G +0.005%0.8%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:19
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.578%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.31%E -0.845%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:10
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.66%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.11%E -0.720%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 16:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 14:14
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:15
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:05
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:14
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:09
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 15:55
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:54
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:55
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:19
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-05-07 18:19
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-07 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-07 18:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 17:50
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-07 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-07 18:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-05-07 18:20
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-05-07 18:20