Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 60.11%1.66fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.14%60.13%60.15%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.581.6364.94%63.20%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV -0.282%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.87%39.85%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.48%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 60.11%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 39.89%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.282%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.48%E -0.599%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 04:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 21:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 04:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 23:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 09:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 05:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |