默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

开赛时间: 2026-05-05 23:40 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Cubs 3–2 Cincinnati Reds

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 60.11%1.66公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -3.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
59.14%60.13%60.15%61.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.581.581.6364.94%63.20%63.29%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

预测 39.89%2.51公平赔率
EV -0.282%
优势 -0.113%
Kelly -0.188%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
38.57%39.87%39.85%40.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.48%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):60.11%;Cincinnati Reds (客队):39.89%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.50,期望值为-0.282%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.48%E -0.599%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-05 23:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 21:55
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:45
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 22:50
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 13:14
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:44
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 04:19
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:05
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:08
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:04
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:35
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 23:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 09:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-05 23:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-05 23:15
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19%0.7%2026-05-05 23:20
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 05:19
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-05 23:30