A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-05 23:40 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–2 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 60.11%1.66odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.14%60.13%60.15%61.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.581.581.6364.94%63.20%63.29%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 39.89%2.51odd justa
EV -0.282%
Vantagem -0.113%
Kelly -0.188%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.57%39.87%39.85%40.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.48%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 22:00
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.48%E -0.599%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-05 23:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 21:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:45
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 22:50
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 17:44
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 21:15
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 13:14
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:44
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 04:19
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:08
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 20:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:04
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 21:10
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:05
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:44
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:35
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:39
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:34
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 23:26
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 09:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-05 23:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-05 23:15
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19%0.7%2026-05-05 23:20
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 05:19
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-05 23:30