مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-05-05 23:40 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 3–2 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.11%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -3.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.14%60.13%60.15%61.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.581.581.6364.94%63.20%63.29%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.89%2.51السعر العادل
EV -0.282%
الأفضلية -0.113%
Kelly -0.188%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.57%39.87%39.85%40.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.48%41.67%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 22:00
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.48%E -0.599%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-05 23:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 21:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:45
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.681%E -0.273%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:45
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 22:50
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 17:44
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 21:15
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 13:14
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:55
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 21:44
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 04:19
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:08
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 20:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:04
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 21:10
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:05
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:05
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:44
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:35
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 04:39
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:34
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 23:26
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 09:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-05 23:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-05 23:15
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19%0.7%2026-05-05 23:20
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 05:19
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-05 23:30