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Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV -0.929%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%57.00%56.94%59.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.661.671.7464.94%60.21%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV -0.095%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%43.00%43.06%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.242.3247.62%44.79%44.64%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 56.94%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 43.06%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.322. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.320, with an expected value of -0.095%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:17 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.32%E -8.00%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |