A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-05-01 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 6–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 56.94%1.76odd justa
EV -0.929%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.21%57.00%56.94%59.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.661.671.7464.94%60.21%59.88%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 43.06%2.32odd justa
EV -0.095%
Vantagem -0.041%
Kelly -0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.63%43.00%43.06%44.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.242.3247.62%44.79%44.64%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 18:02
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 18:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:04
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 18:15
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 18:14
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 18:19
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 18:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 18:14
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 18:08
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:39
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 17:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 17:59
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:17
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:15
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:10
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 15:14
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:19
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.32%E -8.00%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-01 18:20
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-05-01 18:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-05-01 18:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-01 18:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-01 18:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-01 18:20