La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 56.94%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.929%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%57.00%56.94%59.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.661.671.7464.94%60.21%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)
Predicción 43.06%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.095%
Ventaja -0.041%
Kelly -0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.63%43.00%43.06%44.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.242.3247.62%44.79%44.64%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:02 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:17 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 15:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.32%E -8.00%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |