مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-05-01 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 6–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.94%1.76السعر العادل
EV -0.929%
الأفضلية -0.534%
Kelly -1.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.21%57.00%56.94%59.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.661.671.7464.94%60.21%59.88%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.06%2.32السعر العادل
EV -0.095%
الأفضلية -0.041%
Kelly -0.072%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.63%43.00%43.06%44.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.232.242.3247.62%44.79%44.64%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 18:02
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.929%E -0.534%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 18:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:04
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 18:15
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 18:14
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 18:19
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.64%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 18:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 18:14
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 18:08
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:39
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 17:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.990%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 18:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 17:59
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:17
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:15
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:10
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.956%E -0.416%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 15:14
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:19
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.18%E -7.17%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.32%E -8.00%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-01 18:20
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-05-01 18:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-05-01 18:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-01 18:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-01 18:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-01 18:20