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Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Boston Red Sox (Хозяева)
Прогноз 52.12%1.92справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.459%
Преимущество -0.240%
Kelly -0.504%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.91
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.05%52.07%52.20%53.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.37%54.05%52.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)
Прогноз 47.88%2.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.36%
Преимущество -0.660%
Kelly -1.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.95%47.93%47.80%48.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.881.981.982.0653.19%50.60%50.51%48.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Boston Red Sox (Хозяева): 52.12%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 47.88%. Для исхода «Boston Red Sox (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.92. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.91, математическое ожидание — -0.459%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.459%E -0.240%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.36%E -0.660%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.13%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.23%E -4.06%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.75%E -4.38%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.32%E -5.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |