L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 23:06 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 1–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 52.12%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.459%
Avantage -0.240%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.07%52.20%53.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.37%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.88%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.660%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.95%47.93%47.80%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.981.982.0653.19%50.60%50.51%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.459%E -0.240%K -0.504%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 23:04
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 22:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 22:49
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.36%E -0.660%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 21:55
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 23:05
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 21:25
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:45
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.13%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 21:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 23:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.23%E -4.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.75%E -4.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.32%E -5.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 21:25
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 22:55
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-14 22:44
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%6.5%2026-05-14 23:05