La scuola delle quote

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-14 23:06 UTC

Finale: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Casa)

Previsione 52.12%1.92quota equa
EV -0.459%
Vantaggio -0.240%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.05%52.07%52.20%53.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.37%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.88%2.09quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.660%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.95%47.93%47.80%48.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.981.982.0653.19%50.60%50.51%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.459%E -0.240%K -0.504%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 23:04
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 22:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 22:49
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.36%E -0.660%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 21:55
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 23:05
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 21:25
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:45
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.13%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 21:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 23:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.23%E -4.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.75%E -4.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.32%E -5.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 21:25
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 22:55
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-14 22:44
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%6.5%2026-05-14 23:05