La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-05-14 23:06 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 52.12%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.459%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.07%52.20%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.37%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 47.88%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%47.93%47.80%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.981.982.0653.19%50.60%50.51%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.459%E -0.240%K -0.504%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 23:04
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 22:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 22:49
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.36%E -0.660%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 21:55
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 23:05
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 21:25
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:45
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.13%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 21:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 23:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.23%E -4.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.75%E -4.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.32%E -5.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 21:25
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 22:55
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-14 22:44
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%6.5%2026-05-14 23:05