مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-14 23:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Red Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.12%1.92السعر العادل
EV -0.459%
الأفضلية -0.240%
Kelly -0.504%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.05%52.07%52.20%53.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.37%54.05%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.88%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.36%
الأفضلية -0.660%
Kelly -1.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.95%47.93%47.80%48.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.881.981.982.0653.19%50.60%50.51%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.459%E -0.240%K -0.504%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 23:04
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.794%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 22:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 22:49
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.36%E -0.660%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 21:55
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 23:05
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.54%E -1.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 21:25
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:45
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.84%E -0.896%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:35
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.13%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 21:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 23:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.23%E -4.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.75%E -4.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.32%E -5.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 23:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 21:25
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-14 22:55
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-14 22:44
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-05-14 23:04
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%6.5%2026-05-14 23:05