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Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 63.34%1.58fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.44%63.21%66.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5672.46%66.98%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 36.66%2.73fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.82%36.56%36.79%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.622.8041.67%38.09%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 63.34%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 36.66%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.645%E -0.238%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.33%E -8.09%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.59%E -9.13%K -33.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.48%E -0.932%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.06%E -7.08%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -7.53%E -5.16%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.58%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.19%E -0.765%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.41%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.01%E -5.00%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |