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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-09-13 20:56 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–1 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 63.34%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%63.44%63.21%66.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.501.5672.46%66.98%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 36.66%2.73momio equitativo
EV +2.65%
Ventaja +0.948%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.82%36.56%36.79%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.622.8041.67%38.09%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 63.34%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 36.66%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.73. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.65%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-13 20:54
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%5.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%6.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%6.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.645%E -0.238%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.33%E -8.09%K -28.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.59%E -9.13%K -33.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.48%E -0.932%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.06%E -7.08%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -7.53%E -5.16%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.58%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 20:05
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 20:54
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 16:40
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.19%E -0.765%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.41%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:34
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:06
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 20:55
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.01%E -5.00%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 20:35
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-09-13 19:25
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-09-13 20:55