Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-13 19:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (20 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 62.07%1.61momio equitativo

EV -1.30%

Ventaja -0.821%

Kelly -2.21%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

60.45%62.13%62.11%63.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.491.531.531.5967.11%65.20%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 37.93%2.64momio equitativo

EV +0.508%

Ventaja +0.192%

Kelly +0.308%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.90%37.87%37.89%39.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.72%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 62.07%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 37.93%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.64. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.65, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.508%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
LowVig.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%	2.3%	2026-09-13 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%	2.3%	2026-09-13 00:44
GTbets🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.251%E -0.095%K -0.154%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 00:45
BetUS🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.01%E -0.387%K -0.627%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-13 00:45
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.15%E -0.832%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 23:34
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.30%E -0.821%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-12 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 19:15
BetAnything🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 01:50
Bet Right🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 23:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 18:20
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 02:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -1.93%E -1.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-12 23:55
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 18:15
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 00:30
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 02:05
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 18:49
Coolbet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.42%E -1.76%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:50
SportsBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 18:20
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 02:40
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 18:20
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
ReBet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 18:25
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 21:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-13 02:25
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:49
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:50
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 23:50
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-12 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-12 23:50

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-12 22:25
Polymarket◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Novig◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%	2.1%	2026-09-13 01:40
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%	2.5%	2026-09-13 02:35
Matchbook◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%	3.0%	2026-09-13 00:50
Smarkets◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%	2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%	9.9%	2026-09-13 00:45