L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 20:56 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 4–1 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 63.34%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.44%63.21%66.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.501.5672.46%66.98%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.66%2.73cote équitable
EV +2.65%
Avantage +0.948%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.82%36.56%36.79%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.622.8041.67%38.09%38.17%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boston Red Sox (Local) : 63.34% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 36.66%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.73. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.65%E +0.948%K +1.47%G +0.039%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-13 20:54
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%5.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%6.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.43%E -6.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.821%E +0.299%K +0.469%G +0.004%6.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.645%E -0.238%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.33%E -8.09%K -28.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.59%E -9.13%K -33.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.595%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.48%E -0.932%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.26%E -4.23%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.06%E -7.08%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.85%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -7.53%E -5.16%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.58%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 20:05
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.83%E -1.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 20:54
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.79%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 16:40
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.19%E -0.765%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.68%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.41%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:34
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.78%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.89%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:06
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.18%E -4.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 20:55
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.99%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.01%E -5.00%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 20:35
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-09-13 19:25
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-09-13 20:55