Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-13 19:06 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

62%

38%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 62.07%1.61cote équitable

EV -1.30%

Avantage -0.821%

Kelly -2.21%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

60.45%62.13%62.11%63.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.491.531.531.5967.11%65.20%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.93%2.64cote équitable

EV +0.508%

Avantage +0.192%

Kelly +0.308%

Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

36.90%37.87%37.89%39.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.72%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Boston Red Sox (Local) : 62.07% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 37.93%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.64. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.65, pour une espérance positive de +0.508%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%	2.3%	2026-09-13 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%	2.3%	2026-09-13 00:44
GTbets🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.251%E -0.095%K -0.154%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 00:45
BetUS🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.01%E -0.387%K -0.627%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-13 00:45
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.15%E -0.832%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 23:34
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.30%E -0.821%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-12 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 19:15
BetAnything🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 01:50
Bet Right🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 23:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 18:20
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 02:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -1.93%E -1.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-12 23:55
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 18:15
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 00:30
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 02:05
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 18:49
Coolbet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.42%E -1.76%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:50
SportsBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 18:20
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 02:40
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 18:20
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
ReBet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 18:25
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 21:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-13 02:25
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:49
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:50
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 23:50
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-12 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-12 23:50

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-12 22:25
Polymarket◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-12 23:50
Novig◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%	2.1%	2026-09-13 01:40
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%	2.5%	2026-09-13 02:35
Matchbook◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%	3.0%	2026-09-13 00:50
Smarkets◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%	2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%	9.9%	2026-09-13 00:45