默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-13 19:06 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox (主队)

预测 62.07%1.61公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.821%
Kelly -2.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
60.45%62.13%62.11%63.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.531.531.5967.11%65.20%65.36%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 37.93%2.64公平赔率
EV +0.508%
优势 +0.192%
Kelly +0.308%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.90%37.87%37.89%39.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.72%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Boston Red Sox (主队):62.07%;Kansas City Royals (客队):37.93%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.65,由此产生+0.508%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.3%2026-09-13 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.508%E +0.192%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.3%2026-09-13 00:44
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.251%E -0.095%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 00:45
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.01%E -0.387%K -0.627%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 00:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.15%E -0.832%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:34
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.30%E -0.821%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:15
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 02:20
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -1.93%E -1.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 18:49
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.42%E -1.76%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 02:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 23:50
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 02:25
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:50
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.94%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.79%E -2.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 23:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-12 22:25
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-12 23:50
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-09-13 01:40
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-09-13 02:35
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%3.0%2026-09-13 00:50
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%9.9%2026-09-13 00:45