Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 61.56%1.62fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%61.41%61.58%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.561.6566.67%63.75%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 38.44%2.60fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -0.527%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.59%38.42%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.92%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 61.56%; Houston Astros (Visit): 38.44%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +1.58%E +0.957%K +2.43%G +0.038% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.50%E -0.937%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.833%E -0.323%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.22%E -0.474%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.14%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.23%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |